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Saturday, February 12, 2011

Earthquake prediction (7+) by Amit Dave for year 2011

hi
As stated earlier,please note the dates for probable major earthquakes (7+). The window period will be + or - one day (UTC). Figures in brackets shows 7.5+ quake on that date only.
1) January 2011------19,25
2)February-----------19,21
3)March-------------- 20(7.5+)
4)April----------------3,17(7.5+)
5) May---------------16,29
6)June---------------9.12,15
7)July----------------1,9,31
8)August------------6(7.5+),13,30(7.5+)
9)September---------3(7.5+),12,16,28
10)October----------27(7.5+)
11) November-------24
12)December--------7,10,19,25(7.5+)

Total 28 dates hence 84 window dates ie 23.3 % of the year
There is one chance of 7+ on 4th January 2011.However as we are very close to window openiing that was not posted
Depending on cycle quakes ,occurring 7 days in advance, few dates may be modified (well in advance of window opening)
Please watch dates
Amit

21 comments:

  1. hi
    For those who wish to check 6+ earthquake, please observe the dates 7th/8th and 14th /15th day before and after the dates mentioned above
    Above
    Amit

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  2. We have a major quake,6.3, as predicted on 22nd February 2011.Though I can not pin pont the places correctly as of now ,but in principle it can be done providded.enough efforts,time and resources are allocate to the work

    If we talk of the aftershocks,ie major aftershocks,they normally occur on 7th/7th Day of the main quake.

    Thus,I would suggest, we should remain cautious on dates,27th,28th February and 1st March 2011 .

    This phenomena,is termed as- cycle quakes-by me

    Moon is the main trigger in all major quakes.After a major quake ,somewher between 7th and 8th day the Moon acquaries another position which is 90 degrees apart (Moon mooves 1degree in 2Hrs).Thus,7th and 8th day become another probable date,though less potent.

    Amit

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  3. Hello. When is the next earthquake going to occur in Wellington, New Zealand please? Thanks

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  4. Brucenz
    I am sorry sir I can not pin pont places as yet.No need to worry please.
    regards
    Amit

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  5. Amit- no disrespect intended but for us skeptical inquirers out there- how are we supposed to believe the scientific accuracy of your predictions?

    What is the formula or mechanism by which you can demonstrate how this works?

    The moon by itself would be a hard sell, but then you somewhat inexplicably refer to planetary alignments as having an impact. Yet these bodies are so far away from us and each other as to not be taken seriously as having any gravitational influence! When there was the Grand Alignment in the mid 80s aboslutely nothing out of the ordinary happened.

    If this theory is so sound why can you not even predict WHERE the earthquake will occur? Do you claim to be a man of science or is this a metaphysical/astrological website?

    Sorry if this comes off as harsh, but scientific explanations would be awesome, thanks

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  6. Trent
    please see my blog and web page(FAQs)

    http://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com/

    http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/

    for detail theory and FAQs
    regards
    Amit

    AMit

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  7. hi
    The originally predicted dates for April 2011 are 3rd and 17th (7.5+).
    However ,they are now a bit modified as under ( with one more date and lesser magnitude).
    ( 1) 3rd April 2011--6.8.
    (2)9/10th April 2011---7.1. (ie 9th Noon to 10th Noon UTC).
    (3)17th April 2011----6.9.
    Window period is + or - one day.
    Magnitude window is + or - 0.3.
    Amit

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  8. Hi
    Fiji region quake of 6.4 on 3rd April 2011 ,as predicted
    Amit

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  9. hi
    One more quake .Java ,6.7 between 3/4th April as predicted
    Time and again ,we have date hit quake predictions.Still we say ,it is impossible to predict major quakes.
    Please give other theories a chance.
    We (science and seismology) have wasted lot of time and tax payers money.
    What is the harm ,if science ,seismology and gvt officials ,keep vigil on given 25 odd dates in a year at prone places
    It may sound like ,self praise ,but I would like to state,given enough time and resources , it is possible to predict major quakes (6.5+) with fair amount of accuracy of date and even place( a band of Long and Latt ) along the
    globe
    Amit

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  10. hi
    One more quake of 5.7 on India Nepal Boarder on 4th April 2011. All north India experienced the quake
    Amit

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  11. hi
    watch major quakes 7.1 and 6.4 in Japan during 9th to 11th April as predicted above.
    please watch 17th April for yet another quake
    Amit

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  12. WHen and where is the earthquake predicted for Japan. where in japan, is it predicted for northeast again.

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  13. hi
    Time and again it is observed that ,the probable dates of major earthquakes are also prone to volcanic eruptions ,cyclones /tornado
    when the tidal pull is maximum ie when there is maximum high tide in the oceans it will also give maximum low tides on the same day(90 degrees apart)
    1) Thus when he pull is maximum on magma,it can create earthquakes
    2) If the pull can break open the mouth of volcano ,it will give an eruption
    3) When the tidal pull is applied on oceans ,it gives high tides and low tides
    4)When the pull attracts moist clouds at one place ,it gives cloud bursts or unusually heavy rains
    5) When the pull is applied to atmosphere,it gives high pressure zones at high tide locations and low pressure zones at low tide axis
    when ,the air rushes to fill the low pressure zone (after it comes out of low tide effect) it gives tornado
    If these air(rushing to fill the low pressure zone,moves over oceans having temperature 26 to 28 degrees it gathers momentum from latent heat of waters and thus creates Cyclones
    Thus these dates are prone for all such disasters
    6) If on given date ,an eruption occurs ,the magnitude of the quake will be less than expected as the internal pressure is released due to eruption
    Amit

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  14. have you found out the location of the 17th april earthquake?

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  15. hi
    6.6 earthquake at south of Kermadec Island,to day ie 18th April 2010,as predicted
    + or - one day and 6.5+
    Amit

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  16. hi
    Sorry . Typo error
    date is 18th April 2011 for 6.6 ,kermadec quake
    Amit

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  17. hi
    Due to my heavy engineering office work load, there may be some delay in my postings on this blog.
    As long as I am in service,earthquake prediction research will be a part time affair.It is difficult to find time after 9-10 hrs of a days work, and 3 Hrs of Mumbai-Indaia - transport (to and fro)
    Amit

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  18. hi
    l note two major quakes 97.3 and 7.1 ) on Kermadic island and Japn Coast beween 7th to 10th July 2011 as predicted
    Amit

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  19. Hi
    Predicted date 30/31st July 2011
    predicted magnitude--6.5
    6.6 quake t South of Fiji on 29th
    6.4 quake at East coast of Honshu, Japan
    can we say this is the date hit prediction?
    Time and again I have proved date hit accuracy.You will find proof to my statement right in this blog.
    Unfortunately,seismologist and plate tectonics are not ready to believe
    I thought when Japan spend a huge sum on Earthquake research hence, will be able to take cognizance of this
    Unfortunately ,it deed not work out
    Any way I have to keep working.
    If enough time and resources are allocated to research even place can be pinpointed(right now,in principle)
    Amit

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  20. hi
    Here is one expected .6.8 quake at Banda sea on 30th August 2011 at 0657 UTC
    Amit

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  21. hi
    Now when we have 6.4 quake at Vancouver on 9th September 2011, the quake on 16th is almost certain (6.5-place not known )
    This is termed by me as cycle quake theory.
    On prone months major quakes occurs after evry 7 to 7 and half days.
    This is because Moon( the main trigger) acquires another potent position (90 degrees apart ) after every 7-7.5 days
    Amit

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